e-ISSN: 1390-5902
CEDAMAZ, Vol. 15, No. 1, pp. 19–26, Enero-Junio 2025
DOI: 10.54753/cedamaz.v15i1.2494
Spatial Multi-Criteria Assessment for Optimal Biomass Power Plant Siting in
Ecuador Using GIS
Evaluación espacial multicriterio para la localización óptima de plantas de bioenergía
en Ecuador usando SIG
María Eliza Vega-Iñiguez 1, Yulissa del Cisne Marín-Apolo 1and Danny Ochoa-Correa 1,*
1Universidad de Cuenca, Cuenca, Ecuador, eliza.vegai@ucuenca.edu.ec, yulissa.marin@ucuenca.edu.ec, danny.ochoac@ucuenca.edu.ec
*Corresponding author: danny.ochoac@ucuenca.edu.ec
Reception date of the manuscript: 25/05/2025 Acceptance date of the manuscript: 30/06/2025 Publication date: 30/06/2025
Abstract This study examines the energy and spatial potential of agricultural residues in Ecuador for biomass-based distributed electri-
city generation. Based on national crop production data, residues from sugarcane, rice, oil palm, and hard corn were quantified, yielding an
estimated effective electrical potential of 2407.68 GWh/year. A spatial multi-criteria analysis was conducted using Geographic Information
System (GIS) software, integrating road and substation proximity, terrain slope, flood risk, and distance to populated areas. Exclusion layers
considered volcanic hazard zones, primary road corridors, and hydrographic basins. The resulting suitability map classified the territory into
five levels. Guayas, Los Ríos, and Esmeraldas were identified as provinces combining both resource availability and logistical accessibility.
Additionally, a levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) of USD 0.097/kWh was estimated for a 25 MW biomass plant. The methodology is
applicable to geographic prospecting and energy potential assessment of other non-conventional renewable energy sources.
Keywords—Bioenergy, Multi-criteria analysis, Agricultural biomass, SIG, Ecuador.
Resumen Este estudio evalúa el potencial energético y territorial de los residuos agrícolas en Ecuador para la generación eléctrica
descentralizada a partir de biomasa. A partir de datos de producción nacional, se cuantificaron los residuos disponibles de caña de azúcar,
arroz, palma aceitera y maíz duro seco, estimando un potencial eléctrico efectivo de 2407.68 GWh/año. Se aplicó un análisis espacial
multicriterio en un sistema de información geográfica (SIG), integrando variables como proximidad a carreteras y subestaciones, pendiente
del terreno, riesgo de inundaciones y distancia a zonas pobladas. Se excluyeron áreas con restricciones como zonas de amenaza volcánica,
vías principales y cuencas hidrográficas. El análisis produjo un mapa nacional de idoneidad, clasificando el territorio en cinco niveles. Las
provincias de Guayas, Los Ríos y Esmeraldas concentran condiciones favorables tanto en disponibilidad de biomasa como en accesibilidad
logística. Además, se estimó un costo nivelado de electricidad (LCOE) de 0.097 USD/kWh para una planta de 25 MW. La metodología
propuesta es aplicable a estudios orientados a la prospección territorial y a la evaluación del potencial energético de otras fuentes renovables
no convencionales.
Palabras clave—Bioenergía, Análisis multicriterio, Biomasa agrícola, GIS, Ecuador.
INTRODUCTION
Biomass energy has been explored globally as a way to di-
versify electricity generation sources, particularly in contexts
where agricultural residues are abundant. Unlike other rene-
wable sources that depend on intermittent natural phenome-
na, biomass allows for dispatchable generation through ther-
mochemical conversion of organic matter. In countries with
strong agricultural economies, this approach presents a tech-
nically viable method to utilize residual matter that would
otherwise be discarded or inefficiently managed (Demirbas,
2001; Zafar, 2022).
In Latin America, Brazil and Colombia have integrated
biomass into their energy planning, benefiting from sugar-
cane bagasse and palm residues, respectively (International
Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA), 2016; Marín-Apolo y
cols., 2025). However, Ecuador has yet to exploit this path-
way, despite possessing a similar agricultural structure and
residue availability. According to national energy statistics,
the country generated 63.45% of its electricity from hy-
dropower in 2024, while biomass contributed approximately
1.29% to the overall mix (Agencia de Regulación y Con-
trol de Energía y Recursos Naturales no Renovables (ARCO-
NEL), 2024). This reliance on hydroelectric generation intro-
duces seasonal vulnerabilities, particularly during prolonged
dry periods associated with climate variability, as evidenced
by energy shortages in 2022 and 2023.
Given this context, agricultural biomass—especially from
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OPTIMAL BIOMASS POWER PLANT SITING IN ECUADOR VEGA-IÑIGUEZ et al.
high-yield crops such as oil palm (Elaeis guineensis), rice,
sugarcane, and hard corn—represents a strategic opportunity
for decentralized electricity generation. These crops produ-
ce residues with acceptable moisture and energy content for
direct combustion, with annual production distributed across
various provinces. Prior studies in Ecuador have confirmed
the physicochemical potential of these materials, but have
not addressed their spatial distribution or siting feasibility
(Peláez-Samaniego y Espinoza Abad, 2015; Chamba Que-
zada y Gómez Live, 2020).
The effectiveness of biomass-based generation systems
depends on the availability of feedstock and on the siting
of processing facilities. Factors such as proximity to road
infrastructure, slope, access to substations, and exposure to
flood-prone areas affect both construction costs and opera-
tional logistics (Kumar y cols., 2006; Morato y cols., 2019).
Spatially explicit planning tools, particularly geographic in-
formation systems (GIS), allow for the integration of mul-
tiple georeferenced variables to support decisions regarding
plant location.
In this context, spatial multi-criteria analysis (MCA) pro-
vides a systematic framework to incorporate diverse spatial
factors into a composite suitability index. MCA has been suc-
cessfully applied in various studies for energy resource allo-
cation, including wind, solar, and small hydro siting (Mal-
czewski, 1999; Aydin y cols., 2013). Its flexibility lies in the
capacity to assign weights to criteria based on technical prio-
rities and local conditions. In previous research conducted
in Ecuador, the authors have demonstrated the applicability
of this methodology in evaluating locations for submerged
hydrokinetic generation, with results consistent with field
measurements and hydrodynamic behavior (Salinas-León y
Ochoa-Correa, 2025). These precedents support the relevan-
ce of MCA as a decision-support tool for territorial planning
in renewable energy projects.
This study applies an MCA approach using GIS to iden-
tify the most suitable areas for the installation of biomass
power plants in Ecuador. The methodology combines resi-
due availability data with logistical, environmental, and in-
frastructural parameters to build a suitability model through
weighted overlay analysis. The approach supports regional
planning efforts by generating evidence-based maps that dis-
tinguish areas with higher feasibility for biomass energy de-
velopment. It also provides a technical foundation for future
public and private investment initiatives seeking to expand
the country’s distributed renewable energy capacity.
MATERIALS AND METHODS
General Approach
The methodological design combined quantitative energy
assessment with geospatial modeling in order to determi-
ne technically and geographically feasible locations for bio-
mass power generation in Ecuador. The procedure consis-
ted of three stages. First, agricultural residues were classified
and quantified based on crop-specific generation factors. Se-
cond, the lower heating value (LHV) of each biomass type
was used to estimate the gross energy yield and the effecti-
ve electrical output. Lastly, spatial suitability was analyzed
using GIS, incorporating infrastructure, environmental, and
topographical variables through a MCA.
Residue Identification and Quantification
The assessment focused on four crops: sugarcane, oil
palm, hard corn, and rice. These crops were selected based
on three criteria: availability of national production data, vo-
lume of residual biomass generated, and compatibility with
direct combustion without prior conversion processes.
Residue generation was estimated using residue-to-
product ratios (RPR) derived from regional literature and
field studies. For sugarcane bagasse, the adopted RPR was
0.3, meaning that 300 kg of dry residue are generated per
tonne of harvested cane. For oil palm residues—particularly
empty fruit bunches and fibers—the RPR used was 0.26.
Hard corn and rice had RPR values of 1.0 and 0.2, respec-
tively, considering stalks and husks as primary combustible
fractions (Serrano y cols., 2017; Peláez-Samaniego y Espi-
noza Abad, 2015).
Since not all the biomass is recoverable for energy use, a
40% availability factor was applied to each theoretical va-
lue to account for soil nutrient recycling needs and technical
losses during collection and handling (Chamba Quezada y
Gómez Live, 2020). The final recoverable mass m(in ton-
nes/year) was computed as:
m=P×RPR ×α
where Pis the annual crop production (tonnes/year), RPR
is the residue-to-product ratio, and α=0,40 is the assumed
availability coefficient.
Energy Yield Estimation
The energy content of each residue was estimated using
the LHV adjusted for moisture content. The values used we-
re based on national laboratory results and consistent with
international references. For instance, oil palm fiber (20%
moisture) was assumed to have an LHV of 15.4 MJ/kg, while
hard corn stalks (15%) were assigned 14.8 MJ/kg. Sugarca-
ne bagasse (50% moisture) and rice husk (10%) yielded 7.94
MJ/kg and 12.01 MJ/kg, respectively (Instituto Nacional de
Preinversión, 2014).
The gross calorific energy Q(in MJ/year) was then obtai-
ned as:
Q=m×LHV
To estimate the energy potentially available as electricity,
a conversion efficiency of 25% was used, consistent with ty-
pical biomass combustion systems of medium scale (15–30
MW) (Kumar y cols., 2006). The effective electrical potential
(EEP), expressed in kilowatt-hours per year, was calculated
as:
EEP =Q×η×277,778
where: - η=0,25 is the conversion efficiency, - 277.778
is the MJ-to-kWh factor (1 kWh = 3.6 MJ).
Spatial Suitability Analysis Using GIS
The third phase involved the identification of optimal loca-
tions for biomass plant installation based on spatial criteria.
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A multi-criteria evaluation was conducted using ArcGIS, em-
ploying both exclusion and preference factors. Exclusion zo-
nes included protected areas, rivers, national roads, and vol-
canic hazard regions. These areas were masked out of the
analysis based on binary raster layers.
Six preference criteria were selected to reflect geographic,
logistic, and environmental conditions: (i) effective electri-
cal potential (from the energy model), (ii) distance to pri-
mary roadways, (iii) proximity to electrical substations, (iv)
slope (percent grade), (v) flood exposure index, and (vi) dis-
tance from urban settlements. Each criterion was rasterized
and standardized on a scale from 1 (least suitable) to 5 (most
suitable).
Weights were assigned to each criterion through expert
judgment and reference to prior MCA studies (Morato y
cols., 2019; Kumar y cols., 2006). The final suitability index
was calculated using weighted linear combination:
S=
n
i=1
wi·ri
where: - Sis the overall suitability score, - riis the norma-
lized raster value for criterion i,-wiis the assigned weight
(Table 1), - wi=1.
Table 1 summarizes the weights used in the MCA.
Table 1: Weights assigned to spatial preference criteria
Criterion Weight
Effective electrical potential 0.40
Distance to primary roads 0.25
Proximity to substations 0.15
Slope 0.08
Flood exposure 0.07
Distance from urban settlements 0.05
The resulting suitability raster was classified into ve ca-
tegories using natural breaks (Jenks), producing a final map
used to identify the most appropriate locations for biomass
plant development.
RESULTS
Effective Electrical Potential of Agricultural Residues
The calculated EEP for each crop was derived from the
recoverable mass and the LHV, as detailed in the metho-
dology. The crop yielding the highest annual EEP was oil
palm, with 1273.55 GWh/year, followed by rice (733.81
GWh/year), sugarcane (220.68 GWh/year), and hard corn
(179.64 GWh/year). These estimates were based on an assu-
med conversion efficiency of 25% and reflect the moisture-
adjusted calorific value of each residue.
The predominance of oil palm is due to the high calorific
value of its fibers and to the year-round availability of its
residues in the coastal regions of Ecuador. Rice husks also
exhibit considerable potential due to their moderate LHV and
substantial production volumes in lowland provinces. Table 2
summarizes the annual EEP estimates by crop.
Table 2: Effective Electrical Potential by Residue Type
Crop EEP (GWh/year)
Oil palm 1273.55
Rice 733.81
Sugarcane 220.68
Hard corn 179.64
Geographic Distribution of Biomass Potential
To assess the spatial distribution of biomass resources
across Ecuador, residue generation was first estimated at
the crop level. Figure 1 illustrates the distribution of the
four selected crops—sugarcane, rice, oil palm, and hard
corn—expressed in tonnes per year per province. These maps
were developed using georeferenced agricultural production
data, which served as the basis for calculating the recoverable
biomass by crop.
Using the crop-specific residue-to-product ratios and the
assumed availability coefficient, the estimated biomass va-
lues were aggregated to construct a composite raster layer
representing the total annual biomass availability per provin-
ce. This aggregation resulted in the total recoverable biomass
map shown in Figure 2.
The combined biomass layer was then used to estimate the
provincial EEP, which reflects the energy content of the re-
sidues potentially convertible into electricity. The EEP map
(Figure 3) classifies provinces into ve categories using na-
tural breaks (Jenks), allowing the differentiation of provinces
based on their energy generation potential. Provinces with
extensive oil palm and rice cultivation—particularly Guayas
and Los Ríos—stood out due to their concentration of high-
yield residues and favorable logistics.
The classification was derived from the natural breaks
(Jenks) algorithm, which partitions the data into groups that
maximize intra-class similarity and inter-class contrast. Class
1 includes provinces with minimal generation potential, whi-
le Class 5 corresponds to territories with the highest con-
centration of energy-relevant residues. These include Guayas
and Los Ríos, where oil palm and rice dominate production
patterns and logistical infrastructure is already in place.
The five provinces with the highest EEP concentrate more
than 80% of the national recoverable biomass. Table 3 pre-
sents these provinces along with their estimated annual bio-
mass availability.
Table 3: Top Five Provinces by Effective Electrical Potential
Province EEP (GWh/year) Available biomass (t/year)
Guayas 891.09 1,263,517
Los Ríos 702.83 1,066,434
Esmeraldas 438.58 720,426
Sucumbíos 133.98 220,417
Manabí 124.81 174,583
Spatial Suitability Analysis
To determine locations that meet the spatial requirements
for biomass plant deployment, a MCA was conducted using
GIS-based raster overlay. This process integrated six prefe-
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OPTIMAL BIOMASS POWER PLANT SITING IN ECUADOR VEGA-IÑIGUEZ et al.
a) sugarcane b) rice c) oil palm d) hard corn
Fig. 1: Geographic distribution of main crops in Ecuador by production volume (t/year): a) sugarcane, b) rice, c) oil palm, d) hard corn.
Fig. 2: Total estimated recoverable agricultural residues by
province (t/year).
rence criteria and three geographic exclusions. Each layer
was processed and standardized before being combined in-
to a composite suitability index.
Figure 4 presents the preference layers used in the weigh-
ted overlay. These include:
Road accessibility: Euclidean distance to primary and
secondary roads.
Proximity to settlements: Calculated as distance from
urban areas, favoring intermediate locations for distri-
bution efficiency.
Distance to substations: Derived from geolocated elec-
trical infrastructure datasets.
Slope: Extracted from digital elevation models, with lo-
Fig. 3: Provincial classification of effective electrical potential
(EEP). The scale includes five classes based on annual generation
potential: Class 1 (0–4.42 GWh), Class 2 (4.42–21.02 GWh), Class
3 (21.02–133.98 GWh), Class 4 (133.98–438.57 GWh), and Class
5 (438.57–891.09 GWh).
wer gradients preferred to reduce construction comple-
xity.
In parallel, exclusion zones were defined to mask out areas
incompatible with biomass infrastructure. These included:
Volcanic hazard zones: Based on official risk zoning
maps.
Hydrographic basins: Protected areas surrounding ri-
ver headwaters.
Transport corridors: Buffers applied to first- and
second-order roads to maintain safety distances and pre-
serve transit zones.
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(a) Road accessibility (b) Proximity to settlements
(c) Distance to substations (d) Terrain slope
Fig. 4: Spatial preference criteria used in the multi-criteria analysis.
Figure 5 shows the geospatial representation of these ex-
clusion factors.
Once standardized and reclassified, the preference layers
were weighted according to the scheme in Table 1. The ras-
ter overlay was computed through weighted linear combina-
tion, and the output classified into five levels using the Jenks
natural breaks method.
Figure 6 shows the final suitability map. Areas in Class
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OPTIMAL BIOMASS POWER PLANT SITING IN ECUADOR VEGA-IÑIGUEZ et al.
a) Volcanic hazard zones b) First and second-order road corridors c) Hydrographic basins
Fig. 5: Geographic exclusion layers. a) Volcanic hazard zones, b) First and second-order road corridors, c) Hydrographic basins.
5 combine high biomass availability with favorable topo-
graphy, short distances to key infrastructure, and low expo-
sure to environmental constraints. These locations are predo-
minantly found in coastal provinces, particularly in Guayas
and Los Ríos, but also appear in portions of Esmeraldas and
Manabí. In contrast, high-residue regions with severe slopes
or restricted access ranked lower in the composite index.
Fig. 6: Final suitability map for biomass plant siting in Ecuador.
Classified into five levels: Class 1 (least suitable) to Class 5 (most
suitable).
Economic Evaluation: LCOE Estimation
To assess the economic feasibility of biomass power ge-
neration, the levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) was esti-
mated for a hypothetical 25 MW combustion-based facility.
The LCOE represents the average cost per unit of electricity
generated over the plant’s lifetime and was calculated using
the following equation (International Energy Agency (IEA) y
OECD Nuclear Energy Agency (NEA), 2020; Short y cols.,
2005):
LCOE =n
t=1(It+Ot+F
t)/(1+r)t
n
t=1Et/(1+r)t
where:
It= investment expenditures in year t,
Ot= operation and maintenance costs in year t,
F
t= fuel costs in year t,
Et= electricity generated in year t,
r= discount rate,
n= project lifetime in years.
The analysis used the following assumptions:
Installed capacity: 25 MW
Capacity factor: 70%
Project lifetime: 20 years
Discount rate: 10%
Capital cost: USD 2,200 per kW installed
Annual O&M costs: 4% of capital cost
Fuel cost: USD 8.5 per tonne (agricultural residues)
Based on these parameters, the annual energy generation
was estimated at 153.3 GWh/year, and the resulting LCOE
was calculated as USD 0.097/kWh. This estimate reflects
conservative assumptions adapted to Ecuadorian market con-
ditions. All monetary values are expressed in 2024 USD.
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DISCUSSION
The technical and spatial analysis confirms that residues
from Ecuador’s agricultural sector have the capacity to sup-
port distributed electricity generation through biomass com-
bustion systems. Among the residues evaluated, oil palm fi-
ber stands out due to its combination of thermal properties
and continuous generation throughout the year. Rice husks,
while seasonal, exhibit sufficient volume and energy content
to sustain regional-scale applications, especially when inte-
grated with complementary feedstocks. Although sugarcane
bagasse is already used in industrial cogeneration, particu-
larly in sugar mills, its spatial availability is more concen-
trated and its use for independent biomass facilities may be
constrained by industrial self-consumption. Hard corn stalks
present lower energy yields per hectare but could support
small-scale systems in zones with limited alternative resi-
dues.
Geospatial analysis demonstrates that residue density alo-
ne is insufficient to guide infrastructure placement. The
highest scoring provinces in terms of suitability—Guayas,
Los Ríos, and Esmeraldas—combine favorable logistical
conditions (access to highways and substations) with topo-
graphic stability and minimal environmental exclusion zo-
nes. Conversely, provinces with biomass availability but un-
favorable terrain or flood exposure (e.g., certain Andean
zones) may require additional infrastructure investment or
adaptation in plant design.
Crop calendars also influence plant viability. Rice and su-
garcane residues are bound to harvesting cycles, resulting
in seasonal surpluses. These patterns introduce limitations
on year-round operation for plants depending exclusively on
these inputs. Oil palm cultivation, largely located in the coas-
tal region, yields residues more steadily across the calen-
dar year, which allows for a more predictable supply stream.
Combining residues with differing seasonal profiles may re-
duce storage requirements and increase operational stability,
as previously observed in mixed-feed biomass systems in Co-
lombia and Southeast Asia (Morato y cols., 2019).
Economically, the estimated LCOE for a biomass faci-
lity of 25 MW capacity was USD 0.097/kWh. This value
reflects the localized cost structure, including fuel collec-
tion, labor, transportation, and interconnection. While higher
than LCOE benchmarks in countries with large-scale supply
chains—such as Brazil (USD 0.06–0.08/kWh)—the estima-
ted value remains competitive in Ecuador’s context, where
fossil-based electricity still forms part of the dispatch matrix
and faces volatility in fuel supply costs (International Rene-
wable Energy Agency (IRENA), 2023).
The development of distributed biomass energy systems
in Ecuador may benefit from further regulatory adjustments.
Although current legislation recognizes renewable genera-
tion under the distributed model, specific incentives for bio-
mass—such as feed-in tariffs, tax exemptions, or concessio-
nal financing—remain limited. Encouraging cooperative mo-
dels involving small producers could increase supply chain
reliability and promote inclusive rural development. Mo-
reover, integrating biomass facilities into local development
plans would help align infrastructure investment with natio-
nal electrification and sustainability goals.
In summary, aligning biomass availability with spatial and
technical criteria leads to a more precise identification of via-
ble plant locations. The findings provide a basis for pilot-
scale implementation and suggest that regional development
strategies can benefit from incorporating biomass energy,
particularly in zones with abundant crop residues and logis-
tical connectivity.
CONCLUSIONS
This study combined energy estimation with spatial mo-
deling to evaluate the suitability of agricultural residues for
electricity generation through biomass combustion in Ecua-
dor. The analysis focused on four crop types with established
energy potential: oil palm, rice, sugarcane, and hard corn. To-
gether, these residues could yield an estimated annual output
of 2407.68 GWh, based on conservative assumptions regar-
ding recoverable biomass and thermal conversion efficiency.
Spatial analysis revealed that provinces such as Guayas,
Los Ríos, and Esmeraldas not only concentrate the highest
volumes of biomass but also offer geographic and infras-
tructural conditions compatible with biomass facility deploy-
ment. These include relatively flat terrain, access to primary
roadways, and proximity to substations. The use of a weigh-
ted overlay method within ArcGIS allowed for the integra-
tion of energy potential with spatial preference and exclusion
layers, resulting in a suitability map that can guide infrastruc-
ture planning at the regional scale.
In parallel, a cost analysis estimated the levelized cost
of electricity for a 25 MW biomass plant at USD 0.097
per kWh. This value remains within a competitive range for
Ecuador’s generation mix, especially for decentralized appli-
cations where transmission costs and grid extension are li-
miting factors. The estimate reflects current local conditions,
including transportation logistics and fuel availability, and is
consistent with values reported in comparable Latin Ameri-
can contexts.
For biomass projects to scale, future planning efforts
should focus on regions with predictable feedstock availa-
bility and suitable siting conditions. Technical design must
account for crop seasonality, which can be mitigated by com-
bining residues with complementary harvest cycles. Beyond
technical considerations, institutional frameworks will play a
decisive role in advancing project implementation. Supporti-
ve measures—such as local incentives, risk-sharing mecha-
nisms, and standardized permitting processes—could encou-
rage private participation and improve deployment timelines.
The methodological framework applied in this study may
also be adapted to other regions in Ecuador or countries with
similar agricultural profiles, provided that geospatial and pro-
duction data are available. As part of a broader energy di-
versification strategy, bioenergy holds promise as a locally
sourced and grid-compatible complement to intermittent re-
newables.
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
The authors thank the Universidad de Cuenca for provi-
ding access to the Microgrid Laboratory at the Faculty of
Engineering, where the present research was conducted.
25
OPTIMAL BIOMASS POWER PLANT SITING IN ECUADOR VEGA-IÑIGUEZ et al.
AUTHOR CONTRIBUTIONS
Conceptualization: M.E.V.-I., Y.M.-A. and D.O.-C.;
methodology: M.E.V.-I., Y.M.-A. and D.O.-C.; formal analy-
sis: M.E.V.-I., Y.M.-A. and D.O.-C.; investigation: M.E.V.-
I., Y.M.-A. and D.O.-C.; resources: D.O.-C.; data curation:
Y.M.-A. and M.E.V.-I.; writing original draft: Y.M.-A.
and M.E.V.-I.; writing review and editing: D.O.-C.; visua-
lization: Y.M.-A. and M.E.V.-I.; supervision: D.O.-C.; pro-
ject administration: D.O.-C. All authors have read and ap-
proved the final version of the manuscript.
FUNDING
This research received no external funding.
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