Relación entre inversión extranjera directa y crecimiento económico a nivel global: datos de panel

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Publicado: jul. 15, 2020
Palabras clave:
IED, Crecimiento económico, Datos de panel

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Andrea Agurto
Universidad Nacional de Loja
Alejandra Castro
Universidad Nacional de Loja
Iván Cartuche
Universidad Nacional de Loja

Resumen

La presente investigación tiene como objetivo verificar la contribución de la IED sobre el crecimiento económico para 106 países a nivel global durante el periodo 1991 a 2015. Basándose en evidencia empírica, utilizando econometría de datos de panel obtenidos del World Develompment Indicators del Banco Mundial (2017), y técnicas de cointegración. Los resultados indican la existencia de un vector de cointegración a corto y largo plazo entre ambas variables. Estimamos la fortaleza del vector de cointegración para países individuales a través de un modelo de Mínimos Cuadrados Ordinarios Dinámicos (DOLS) para grupos de países que utilizan un modelo de Panel Dinámico con Mínimos Cuadrados Ordinarios (PDOLS). Para verificar la dirección de la causalidad entre las series aplicamos las pruebas de Dumitrescu & Hurlin (2012) revelando causalidad unidireccional del crecimiento económico hacia la inversión extranjera directa para países de ingresos altos. Alegando el aumento del crecimiento de las economías en los países de estudio, se deben a otros factores determinantes. Posible implicación de política económica para HIC, mejorar los acuerdos comerciales entre empresas locales e internacionales, el objetivo aprovechar al máximo los beneficios económicos generados por la IED.

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Agurto, A., Castro, A., & Cartuche, I. (2020). Relación entre inversión extranjera directa y crecimiento económico a nivel global: datos de panel. Revista Económica, 5(1), 35–46. Recuperado a partir de https://revistas.unl.edu.ec/index.php/economica/article/view/770
Número
Vol. 5 Núm. 1 (2018): Revista Económica vol 5 (Julio-Diciembre 2018)
Sección
ARTÍCULOS DE INVESTIGACIÓN
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