El Relación entre las exportaciones, el gasto público y el crecimiento económico en Perú en el periodo 1970-2019

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Jessica Guamán
Michelle López

Resumen

El objetivo de esta investigación es analizar la relación de equilibrio a corto y largo plazo entre exportaciones y gasto público con el crecimiento económico en Perú. Utilizando datos de series de tiempo para el periodo 1970-2019; y sustentándose en la hipótesis del crecimiento económico llevado por las exportaciones y la teoría de crecimiento económico con gasto público de Barro (1990). Aplicando modelos y técnicas econométricas, los resultados confirmaron un equilibrio a corto y largo plazo; y, causalidad unidireccional que va desde el crecimiento económico hacia el gasto público, desde el gasto público hacia las exportaciones y desde las exportaciones hacia el crecimiento económico. Finalmente, para conseguir un crecimiento económico estable en Perú, es necesario un manejo eficiente de los recursos, aumentando el gasto público en todos los sectores, reduciendo la dependencia del sector primario, potenciando la producción nacional y, aumentando las exportaciones.

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Guamán, J. ., & López, M. (2023). El Relación entre las exportaciones, el gasto público y el crecimiento económico en Perú en el periodo 1970-2019. Revista Económica, 11(1), 51–63. https://doi.org/10.54753/rve.v11i1.1604
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