Análisis de cointegración de la IED y la industria manufacturera con datos de panel a nivel regional periodo 1992-2016

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Published: jul. 16, 2020
Keywords:
Inversión Extranjera Directa, Manufacturas

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Tanya Luna
Universidad Nacional de Loja
Brayan Tillaguango
Universidad Nacional de Loja

Abstract

El objetivo de esta investigación es examinar el efecto de la IED en la industria de las manufacturas por regiones del mundo en 136 países a nivel global agrupados por regiones durante el período 1992-2016. Utilizamos técnicas actuales de cointegración y causalidad para datos de panel tales como el test de cointegración de Pedroni (1999) para estimar el equilibrio de largo plazo, y corrección de error de Westerlund (2007) para determinar el equilibrio de corto y largo plazo, el método PDOLS y DOLS de Pedroni (2001) para estimar la fuerza del vector de cointegración, y el test de causalidad de Dumitrescu & Hurlin (2012) para verificar la existencia y dirección de causalidad entre parejas de variables. La aplicación de estas estrategias econométricas para datos de panel permite obtener resultados consistentes sobre la relación causal entre la IED y las manufacturas. . Las políticas que se sugieren en base a los resultados de la investigación se centra en tres aspectos: incrementar el capital humano, mejorar la infraestructura y generar políticas comerciales favorables.

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How to Cite
Luna, T., & Tillaguango, B. (2020). Análisis de cointegración de la IED y la industria manufacturera con datos de panel a nivel regional periodo 1992-2016. Revista Económica, 7(1), 87–96. Retrieved from https://revistas.unl.edu.ec/index.php/economica/article/view/807
Issue
Vol. 7 No. 1 (2019): Revista Económica vol 7 (Julio-Diciembre 2019)
Section
RESEARCH ARTICLES
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